Entrepreneurs Louis and Shaol Pozez could not anticipate 63 years ago that the demise of their discount shoe business would be taken down by a network of computers
This isn’t a story from the rejected piles of Terminator franchise spinoffs; this is a reality.
The Pozez’ conception that grew into Payless ShoeSource brick and mortar stores across the U.S. and Canada are officially shuttering.
Their disregard for advancing online sales, in addition to highly leveraged assets, proved fatal.
The City of Saskatoon has officially put out a tender to lease the Farmers’ Market building in Riversdale.
At current, the facility is leased to and operated by the Saskatoon Farmers’ Market Co-operative Ltd.
In their original agreement to lease the property, they outlined their plans to expand the market hours over time.
That vision has only grown to three advertised full market days. The City is ready to let someone else take a run at it.
There is lots of chatter on the street with the recently released preliminary budget from the City of Saskatoon which proposes a 4.5 per cent property tax hike in 2019.
That chatter is incomplete without stepping back and looking at a couple of key issues.
Those two issues are residential and commercial tax ratios and the ongoing cost of city infrastructure growth.
Say what you like about it but over 450,000 people fed their curiosity and took in Saskatoon’s new public art gallery this past year.
That’s more people than encompasses the proper City of Saskatoon population.
More astonishing is that the Remai Modern was only projecting around 190,000 visits during their inaugural year.
Our quarterly market reports have just been released and we’re pleased to report that the overall industrial vacancy rate is heading in the right direction!
The increase in absorption over the last quarter has resulted in just over a 50-basis point decrease in vacancy from 7.5 per cent to 6.9 per cent.
We have, however, seen the average asking net rental rate decrease from $10.61 PSF to $10.20 PSF.
Have you ever stumbled onto one of those websites that features abandoned spaces?
My favourites are old malls. Once so bustling and now so neglected.
But what if you were looking at a vacant mall that was brand new?
Earlier this week, I forwarded a client some historical data on Saskatoon commercial real estate capitalization rates. He came back to me with the comment, “Would be interesting how it (cap rate information) trends with interest rates.”
Sophisticated investors absorb data to make informed investment decisions. I asked our Market Analyst to gather the information. Here’s my observations because of that research.
For the purpose of this conversation, let’s assume you are sitting on cash or liquid asset(s) and have decided to invest a portion of your available capital into commercial real estate.
What factors need to be considered to make a prudent investment decision?
I wrote about the advantages of partnerships, but let’s say the idea of a partnership does not interest you.
Have you noticed any changes in the convenience store staples in Saskatoon?
There are a few subtle changes happening worth mentioning.
Receiving that first response from a Tenant we’ve not encountered before, after waiting for their review of a lease, it is always interesting.
We represent both Tenants and Landlords; this article has been written from the perspective that I am representing the Landlord.
At times the Tenant is prepared to execute the document “as is” and at times they will request hundreds or more of changes. We have seen request that number exceed 1,000 changes.
We know all commercial real estate leases are written with a bias towards the Landlord, but what are the main reasons that Tenants object to the document?
One of my biggest challenges is being unable to find the right fit for tenants. In a commercial landscape that remains under-serviced for retail it’s not exactly my fault.
We did see some new construction of retail in 2018, so it’s probably time to revaluate where the inventory levels sit versus vacancy, midway to the end of the third quarter of 2018.
Looking at the numbers by area, who do you ask: landlords or tenants?
In commercial real estate there can often be a variety of uses for a building depending on the zoning it sits on.
When a tenant vacates a space it can be difficult to anticipate who might backfill them based on the uses the property is best suited for.
So how do landlords decide if they should and shouldn’t spend money on a vacancy in order to get it leased up?
These are rare times when what appears to be a negative economic indicator is actually a necessary painful step in the road to recovery.
Times when a story can be framed negatively or positively when viewed through the lens of reality.
Here’s the thing, the latest Marquis Industrial Building Permit Map issued by the City of Saskatoon on July 3, 2018 states there have been no industrial building permits issued in 2018 (within the Marquis Industrial area).
On the surface, that’s a hard pill to swallow!
There is nothing worse than putting a transaction together that gets mired in a lengthy conditional period with no end in sight.
Whether it’s a court ordered sale or a deal that continually seems to get extended, time kills deals that take too long. Continue Reading
It seems like unlikely odds, Saskatchewan Liquor and Gaming Authority announced that all businesses awarded a cannabis retail permit were selected at random.
A University of Regina statistics professor told the Leader-Post that he’s calculated the odds of one company winning permits in four locations is a one in 1,319,760 chance.
From time to time we will receive a floor call from an individual asking one question: how do we charge brokerage fees to lease space.
I explain that our typical fee would be calculated based on five percent of the total net rental amount over first five years of the lease term and, if applicable, three percent on the balance (plus taxes).
In many cases the conversation ends there.
During my ten years in the commercial real estate industry, I’ve seen it all and very little surprises me anymore.
Every now and then however I get a new doozy worth sharing!
I’ve compiled a list of new and interesting ways that tenants have chosen to compromise their relationship with their landlord.
Photo: Courtesy Leader-Post
Over a year ago, it was announced the Regina’s downtown Cornwall Centre was getting an H&M store.
The store opened this past weekend to a lineup of folks hoping to cash in on door crasher coupons between $10 and $300.
So why did it take so long to finally open the doors?
We found ourselves in the middle of a difficult situation this week.
Unfortunately, we have encountered problems similar to this in the past.
My Business Manager received a call from an individual who is purchasing a multi-tenant commercial property. We are the Listing Broker and this Buyer is represented by an Agent from another brokerage firm.
The Buyer was very frustrated with their Agent and wanted to know how they could proceed without him.
So what’s this ongoing problem I’m referring to?
We have been receiving a wave of phone calls from potential tenants looking to cash in on the upcoming legalized marijuana trade.
They are fervently shopping for locations which I feel like may be premature.
Is the province really prepared for this? I’m not sure any part of Canada is.
The Saskatchewan provincial government expanded PST in the 2017 budget to include restaurant meals.
Has it made any impact on spending habits? Statistics so far indicate perhaps.
It was made public last week that the City of Saskatoon has purchased one of the last properties of the now mothballed Saskatchewan Transportation Company (STC) in Saskatoon.
The timing is especially interesting as the City recently commissioned a report regarding the feasibility of a downtown arena.
Could this be part of a bigger plan?
In an ideal universe tenants could plan ahead and leave themselves enough time to complete a comprehensive commercial real estate search.
They wouldn’t feel pressured to take space that isn’t quite right or doesn’t entirely suit their needs.
But it happens far too often in my world. Why?
I used to smirk a little every time former mayor Don Atchison found a way to work in the “Saskatoon Shines” message into public speeches.
But I’m drinking the koolaid and on board these days with repeating something he was fond of reminding people: Saskatoon is where it’s at.
On Friday our Saskatoon ICR crew travelled to Regina to experience the shiny new Mosaic Stadium and support our Rider’s 37 -12 defeat of the Alouettes.
Although not the point of this story, I have to say it’s an impressive facility, one that this province can be proud of.
On our way to the game we stopped in to hook up with our Regina group and tour their new offices.
Sears has finally pulled the plug. They were granted permission Oct. 13 by the courts to start liquidation of their remaining stores.
This includes a job loss for over 12,000 people who have helped served generations of Canadian shoppers.
So I posed the following question to my friends and social media followers this week: If Sears is out of Saskatoon’s Midtown Plaza, what should be in?
After a flurry of brainstorming I got some pretty good suggestions. So hopefully Kingsett Capital, the Midtown Plaza landlord, is listening!
I enjoy capturing a positive Saskatoon commercial real estate story when they surface. Our recently released 3Q17 retail survey provides me that opportunity. After two quarters of negative absorption, retail vacancy has decreased by 20 basis points to 4.1 per cent.
Due to continued population growth and expansion of new neighborhoods, we see a healthy amount of new retail development for the Saskatoon metropolitan area in coming years.
I’m about to really date myself here but as a kid do you remember going to the grocery store and watching the cashier type each item into a till?
Bar code scanning changed everything, none more significantly than grocery stores.
If the inset picture is a confusing one to you, let’s take a trip down memory lane and a quick look into what the future holds for the grocery retail experience.
People often ask me if we have lulls or slower periods in commercial real estate sales and leasing.
My typical response is that we tend to be busy year round. But summer can sometimes slow down with clients taking holidays from the office.
So is this a reflection of the ICR signs you see around town? Probably not when it comes to our office market.
Most commercial real estate transactions are negotiated between parties with full disclosure as to who each party is.
So why would do offers from buyers sometimes come in undisclosed?
We as professionals in the commercial real estate industry can be known to talk out of both sides of our mouth.
There is no question that almost every stage of real estate development has become more complex.
I often hear frustrated comments due to the increase in resources and knowledge required to navigate red tape from what can be numerous applicable authorities who have jurisdiction over development.
And yet, in some cases there are not enough controls in place.
What do craft breweries and frozen yogurt have in common? They can’t be mixed together that’s for sure!
No, in fact, both retailers share a strong entry into our market and have made an impact in our commercial real estate landscape.
The question is: will craft breweries melt out as fast as the frozen yogurt competition did?
With the pace of technological change now accelerating, it is not reasonably possible for businesses to plan farther than five years into the future.
We like to think we know, however, the change that is coming upon us is so rapid that no one has a clear picture of where we’ll be in ten years.
I see three evolving trends which will translate into opportunities for the savvy commercial real estate broker.
The Buggles famously sang “video killed the radio star” but streaming hasn’t quite put the final nail in the bricks and mortar music business just yet.
It looked like the end was near when HMV Canada announced they were closing all their stores but homegrown Sunrise Records has stepped up to fill the musical consumer gap.
I had the pleasure of moderating the office panel at the Saskatchewan Real Estate forum in April.
One of the topics that seemed to “gather legs” during our discussion was Regina’s current office development policy as it relates to Saskatoon’s proposed office development bylaw.
I discussed some of the issues surrounding this topic in an earlier post a year ago: Regina’s policy, implemented in July 2012 does not permit major office developments more than 43,000 square feet of floor space outside of the core area (except in limited and specific contexts; e.g. accessory to an institution).
Up to and including June 13th, only five building permits have been issued since January 1st, 2017 within the Marquis Industrial Area.
There were four permits issued during the month of April however that number has remained unchanged since the end of April.
Spring is typically the season we see the greatest number of new industrial construction starts.
Leasing commercial retail space can vary by development but there are some fundamentals that most tenants in this sector should take into consideration while shopping around.
It’s not hard to find opposing opinions on the philosophy of disengaging from technology, nor is it possible for me to say what’s right for you. My wife and I have experimented for a month now with “technology free Sundays.”
Our definition of “technology free Sunday” is that our cell phones and computers are shut down from the time we retire Saturday night until Monday morning. The experiment has been positive for both of us.
Chrysler Building. Empire State Building. Rockefeller Center. What do these iconic New York City buildings have in common?
They are recognizable by name alone. They are examples of commercial real estate known throughout the world whether you’ve physically seen them or not.
How significant is a name when it comes to commercial buildings?
Even the most seasoned tenant can miss some pretty vital points when investigating new space. It’s certainly more challenging for new businesses that have never occupied commercial real estate before.
Here’s a few tips to look out for that can save you money and hassle down the road when searching industrial spaces.
I had a client ask yesterday what I believe to be the long term risk associated with investing in retail commercial real estate. Let’s ponder that question as it relates to the four major asset classes.
In an earlier post, “Time to Sell Functionally Obsolescent CRE?” the discussion focussed on what could be considered owner occupant type assets. For the purpose of this overview, we’ll assume that the real estate is current and relevant.
My grandmother and I recently discussed the future of Sears Canada. Outside of heavy news coverage of the US Sears hardships, she identified something that dropped from all our radars: the absence of a Spring/Summer 2017 catalogue.
Amid no apparent fanfare, Sears Canada appears to have quietly shut down their catalogue service.
So what’s going on?
Retail continues to play a stabilizing role in Regina and Saskatoon commercial real estate. The office vacancy has hovered in the double digits for the last 3 – 4 years while the industrial sector witnessed a 3% increase in vacancy in 2015 in both cities.
Here’s a synopsis of the presentation by one of ICR’s partners, Linely Schaefer made as Moderator on the retail panel last week at the Saskatchewan Real Estate Forum.
In spite of a forecast for a slight increase in the unemployment rate and decrease in housing starts in Saskatchewan, RBC Provincial 2017 Outlooks is predicting a growth in GDP of 1.8 per cent.
That’s after two consecutive years of negative growth, due mostly to weakness in our energy and non-energy mining sectors. To say that the Saskatoon office market has been simply affected by these provincial economic factors is an understatement.
In fact, as you can see by this historical vacancy graph, you have to go back to 2005 to find vacancy as high as we experienced last year. Is there a light?
It’s been a long hard road for the Saskatoon Industrial real estate market over the last few years. We’ve seen average vacancy skyrocket from under 4 per cent to over 10 per cent and significant softening of net rental rates.
The recent announcement of the ICR brokered Mitsubishi Hitachi Plant acquisition by Brandt Group injects some much need optimism into this sector.
With 208,000 square feet (SF) on over 22 acres, the wind turbine factory has the potential to employ 500 people.
Despite a rough patch for oil in 2016 activity actually increased in one of Saskatchewan’s growing secondary markets.
The town of Kindersley has a total population of 5,628 people but trades as a hub for more than 40,000 surrounding residents. Their history in oil and gas goes back many decades and they are certainly not tapped out yet.
My little sister Jenni and I in West Ed Mall, circa 1984. West Ed opened in 1981 and was the world’s largest mall (5.3 million SF) until 2004.
I have been a fan of the shopping mall experience for as long as I can remember. Maybe it’s my upbringing as a country girl, but I’ve always found interior malls to be an exciting place to visit.
Despite what appears to be dire times for the mall, market research indicates that some traditional shopping centres are doing very well. And in fact, aren’t down for the count at all.
Mainstream media is quick to report the bad news in our world. We can’t ignore the negative but the creativity to turn these opportunities into a positive is available to us.
Regardless of whether you have entered into a commercial real estate lease or sale, there is a level of due diligence required by each party to complete the transaction.
Every deal is unique but I’ll provide a few examples that most commonly occur in the Saskatoon commercial real estate market.
ICR has collected the fourth quarter results for 2016 and though commercial vacancy remains higher than average in some sectors, overall the numbers have not changed drastically over the past year.
Most businesspeople make it common practice to hire a broker to list their space for sale and/or lease.
There are also many compelling reasons to seek formal representation when looking for a new home for your business although this may not be the best solution in all circumstances. Don’t sign a contract unless you believe you will benefit from representation and save money.
Let’s explore the advantages of contracting one commercial real estate company to partner with to meet your goals and ensure the most favorable outcome.
Saskatoon City Council has approved the sale of the former municipal police building on 4th Ave S and now the work will begin for us.
Originally built with a uniquely specific purpose, this property is going to get a new lease on life.
I was chatting with a client over dinner at a charity event last night. One of the topics he spoke passionately about was the benefits of forming partnerships to invest in real estate.
He has observed other cultures which have successfully embraced the partnership model more frequently than he sees in Canada.
Are Canadians simply more independent thinkers? Or does it speak to a lack of confidence in this form of ownership?
Let’s assume you or the listing broker representing you has properly qualified the purchaser who has your commercial real estate under contract.
Let’s also assume you provided that purchaser a very comfortable six week conditional period to complete their due diligence and arrange financing so they don’t have to come back to you with a request for an extension.
I just experienced this exact situation as a listing broker working with a buyer’s agent from another brokerage.
There has been much written about the benefits of the “new” open office concept. On the other hand it’s not difficult to find articles which state the open office concept has been proven to not be effective.
The truth is it depends upon the dynamics of a company and personal preferences of the individual. It is important to tell you that I have my own bias on this issue. I will nonetheless do my best to present the pros and cons objectively.
The International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC) held their annual Canadian Convention in Toronto from September 19-21. The event allows brokers, owners, developers, and retailers to meet up and form relationships at one central location.
With over 150 booths of various disciplines, attendees were able to mingle and cook deals in person. ICR sent a large contingency of brokers as usual and they came back with encouraging news.
Leases are created by landlords to protect their investments. They identify the rights and responsibilities for both parties during the term of the relationship.
Because in most cases the lease comes from the Landlord, he or she is going to be more aware of the clauses and ultimate implications. No one is trying to pull the wool over a tenant’s eyes, but there are items that are important to understand prior to entering into an agreement.
With a civic election around the corner there is much discussion surrounding our current administration’s property tax track record.
We have seen annual property tax increases average 5.43 per cent over the current council’s four-year term. During this same period the consumer price index indicates inflation has risen by an annual average of 1.9 per cent.
Anyone seeking civic office who is riding on the representation that they’ll keep increases under the rate of inflation without revealing a road map simply lacks credibility.
There is lots to talk about surrounding this issue.
How brave are you? Are you willing to take risks?
Buying an old building to restore or spiff up can be a bold move but the reward can be so satisfying.
Accountability is defined as the fact or condition of being accountable; therefore, responsible. I think it’s a word that is thrown around without much consideration for the consequence of the potential expectation created.
A few weeks ago, I was searching for a photo to accompany an earlier blog post. It didn’t surprise me, but it was a little disheartening to find that images of female real estate agents were hard to come by.
We field a number of questions regarding the type of sale or lease product that moves the quickest in our market. It’s hard to generalize because every commercial real estate property is different however there are certainly those that stand out from the rest.
We are always searching for new product to bring to our clients, so pay attention to our wish list:
With an abundance of industrial and office inventory, the story in Saskatoon’s commercial real estate market has not necessarily improved since the beginning of 2016 but it could be stated that things may be stabilizing.
There are a multitude of office listings for lease in our market so why is it so hard to find a glove-fit for tenants?
I had a conversation with a small contractor this week whose view of the commercial real estate market was a little off to me. He indicated that landlords should be bowing to tenants and taking whatever offers they can, given our current vacancy.
I won’t disagree that we have a fair amount of inventory within our Saskatoon industrial and office markets. While deals and incentives are being offered I don’t think it’s a dire situation.
Saskatoon is the envy of many other cities. As a result of our city administration’s proper long term planning and successful execution of those plans, we have a vibrant and healthy core area.
There are many times I’ve had to circle the block during the week, in the middle of the evening, in the dead of winter looking for a parking spot. It’s somewhat understandable that there is a desire to entrench that success. In an earlier post, Saskatoon approves Growth Plan to Half a Million, we explored the city’s goal for the next 30 years.
Here we’ll explore the administration’s proposed office bylaw that would restrict suburban office development to under 21,000 square feet.
Location and demand stand out as the major leasing drivers of commercial real estate however they are not the only factors.
Here’s a few tips I share with landlords to help their properties shine above the competition.
There is no definitive start to when a generation begins, but millennials are loosely described as the next demographic following Generation X. They are defined as people born from the early 1980s up to around the year 2000.
Their needs and wants should be important to employers, because as a generality this group of workers will not necessarily just follow the money; they want a workplace that offers a lot more.
Not only the office set up but location and amenities will play huge roles in companies’ ability to attract millennial employees. We see examples of this already impacting our commercial real estate market.
Many people I speak with are surprised to learn that we have such a high demand for investment product in this province. I am quite often asked the question (possibly due to the high vacancy rate in the industrial and office sectors) whether we believe prices have “bottomed out.”
I will first need to qualify my definition of “quality,” however in the last number of years there has been absolutely no downward movement in the price of these assets. As a matter of fact there has been some minor cap rate compression in the past year.
A common question asked in conversation is: “how’s the market?” It’s difficult to provide a one sentence response to that question!
We’ve already reported the rather dull current status of the Saskatoon office and industrial leasing markets. We do have a strong demand for good quality Saskatchewan commercial real estate investment property however our supply is limited.
Where the story gets better, where we have a good balance between supply and demand and where we are still seeing new construction on spec is… retail!
The Saskatoon office market is sitting with an abundance of inventory on the market at the end of the first quarter for 2016. While this isn’t good news for landlords, it creates a real opportunity for tenants to negotiate attractive terms on new leases.
There are three important due diligence items that should be on your to-do list when purchasing commercial real estate in any asset class. I have just resolved that when applicable, my Business Manager and I will do everything reasonably possible to ensure Buyers that we represent will be provided these documents prior to removal of their purchase agreement conditions. Let me explain why!
While building inventory in the industrial sector may be high, demand for industrial zoned lots continues. According to the ICR first quarter report for 2016, the industrial market is stabilizing but vacant inventory has risen slightly since the final months of 2015.
I’m not much of a gambler, but I’m game to make a few wagers on the immediate future of commercial real estate in Saskatoon. I still thinking putting money in our market is a safe bet but there are some important items to consider.
There is no simple yes or no to that question. It can be common to see strength in one sector and not the other. Let’s explore some of the factors that come to play between these two distinct markets.
Like so many material things in the world, the value of commercial real estate can often be in the eye of the beholder. There are two sides to this story; the hard truth is, the value to an owner user can outweigh what the market may be prepared to pay.
There are a number of items we look at when valuing a piece of commercial real estate. Here are just a few to consider.
In a couple of my earlier blog posts: “Five key benefits of commercial real estate investing” and “Mainstream media’s obsession with the equities market” I discussed why commercial real estate is a viable investment vehicle. It is surprising to some that in spite of the current tepid economy, our demand exceeds available product and is causing compression of some cap rates. There are a few reasons for this…let me explain.
When developers and investors are considering commercial real estate purchases, their broker is often called upon to render an opinion on site feasibility. As Barry and I would both tell you, we are not engineers or architects but we do have a pretty good idea of what is most commonly requested in our market.
Sharing some of our market insight can be important to the development of a site when it comes to tenants’ current expectations and achieving an expedient lease process on the property.
Traditionally the general economic activity affecting Saskatchewan’s commercial real estate industry is impacted by three main outputs: agriculture, energy and potash. The Conference Board of Canada’s forecast of 2% GDP growth in 2016 is based on a resumption of typical agricultural production and somewhat lessening declines in the energy sector.
I’m not sure that I agree with the assumption that we will see recovery in the energy sector next year. Certainly however a lower loonie contributes to a stronger export market with the U.S., by far our largest customer. We believe 2016 will see some growth; two percent may be a bit optimistic.
The Royal Bank of Canada forecasts 3.2% retail growth for this province. An achievable number if we continue to grow our population.
With all the economic doom and gloom, it’s time someone looked at what’s going right in Saskatoon. National tenants continue to look at our market and there are brave developers out there with the belief that if they build it, they will come.
I came across an article entitled “Real estate value tied to human behavior” which takes an interesting view on the future values of commercial real estate properties, office in particular, when it comes to the psychology of the upcoming millennial workforce.
In commercial real estate the asset value is often attributed to lease rates. But it’s a unique concept to think employee wants and needs could be a contributing factor in achieving value to a space as well.
Third quarter market highlights for Saskatoon
ICR Commercial Real Estate has released their third quarter musings regarding the office, industrial and retail markets in Saskatoon. Oversupply and slow absorption lowered expectations over the previous quarter, but where does that leave us?
With technological advancements facilitating consumer’s ability to shop, the emergence of e-commerce continues to gain momentum. Many experts once believed that the future of retail would lie primarily within the e-commerce marketplace as online retailers were expected to overtake traditional brick-and-mortar chains. As a younger generation of shoppers becomes the main consumer within our marketplace, will e-commerce continue to dominate?
Saskatoon core neighbourhood residents are up in arms regarding the recent announcement of a City Park grocery store closure. The media picked up the story quickly soliciting the shocked reactions of people living nearby the Loblaw-owned Shop Easy Foods on 7th Ave.
The impact to people who utilized and depended on the retailer is significant.
The University of Saskatchewan is the largest urban land owner in Saskatoon outside of the City of Saskatoon with almost 1,000 acres of land ready for development. And they are ready to start maximizing their investment.
The U of S set forth a plan in 2009 to start considering the re-use of their expansive land inventory to capitalize on its potential going forward. This plan was recently addressed in the news as it starts to take shape. The U of S has purchased land in Clavet to begin moving some of the agriculture programs out of the City limits.
So what happens next?
Over my seven years with ICR I’ve had a few deals that stick out in my mind. Much like a snowflake, every deal is unique but there are a few noteworthy examples of what I’d classify as the good, the bad and the downright ugly.
Most commercial real estate agents would agree that our tenants and buyers are less likely to show warm, fuzzy feelings about properties like a homebuyer might. Often functionality and cost win out as the primary decisions behind choosing a commercial space.
But presentation does matter to these clients and there is typically only one opportunity to wow them so why not make it count.
Saskatoon has a reputation, literally within North America, of raising up creative leaders with a strong work ethic. We have a healthy arts community. There have been a number of recent examples of innovative new and infill residential developments however the number of innovative commercial examples are few. Why do you think we are lacking in this area?
We are often tasked with researching space for tenants using a monthly budget. But when we use a price per square foot as an industry to compare properties against each other there are a few steps required.
Thinking like a tenant, ICR’s Research Analyst Alvaro Campos put the question to our office this week: how much does $5,000 a month get you in Saskatoon’s office, retail and industrial?
Vacancy continues to rise
Now sitting at 8.2 per cent, our industrial vacancy rate has increase by one percent since the beginning of 2015. It is important to note that 1.53 per cent of that number is made up between six properties which total just over 278,000 sq ft.
This is currently the highest industrial vacancy rate in Western Canada, just ahead of Calgary and Vancouver. Although we see a reasonable level of interest and listing activity, prospective tenants are slow to make decisions to contract.
There are a number of media sources reporting double digit vacancy rates in the Saskatoon office sector but it’s important to identify the qualifying factors that go into this data. Here is a brief analysis of how our Market Analyst Alvaro Campos is dissecting the information for ICR.
It’s not possible to accurately predict where the commercial real estate market is going this year. In order to understand the factors that generate changes in the market, these causes must be first be identified and evaluated.
A general market gap analysis, evaluating the difference between demand and supply of space involves four major market categories: investment, office, industrial and retail. Even though a region’s economic prosperity tends to move in one direction, it is not uncommon to see these different sectors trending in opposite directions.
I think it’s fair to say that uncertainty in oil and other resources revenue streams do play a role in the work of decision makers in commercial real estate; their motivation to buy, sell and lease in the Saskatoon market. Given recent events, I’d like to explore the current mood in all sectors of our commercial real estate market.
We said hello to many new restaurants and retailers in 2014 but we also had to say goodbye to a few in Saskatoon. A recent article about Toronto landmark real estate that has been closed or demolished, inspired me to think of the properties or businesses that gave way to growth and change taking place in our Saskatoon market in 2014.
Sometimes the most obvious answers are right in front of us. I often get retail tenants looking for high exposure retail zoning. In Saskatoon’s under retailed landscape this can be a tough find.
There is one area that springs to mind that many people have underrated over the years. See if you can guess where I’m talking about.
Laws governing commercial real estate tenancies vary from province to province. In Saskatchewan, once a tenant has been determined to be in default (by definition of their lease agreement) there are several remedies available to the landlord.
Some of the information presented here is from an article prepared by the local firm of Robertson Stromberg. This should not be taken as legal advice, rather a discussion on some of the consequences that can be imposed on delinquent tenancies. Each tenancy must be dealt with on a case by case basis.
In an earlier blog post: “Have Saskatchewan commercial real estate values peaked?” I discussed the future of commercial real estate values in this province. Here we look more specifically at what I will refer to as the functionally obsolescent asset class.
For the past eight years, Saskatoon’s retail vacancy rate has stayed under three per cent leaving tenancies with little choice or few options to locate here. Recent construction surges have started to create more opportunities in the commercial real estate market for retailers looking to get their foothold into Saskatoon.
Saskatchewan’s largest urban centres are Regina and Saskatoon but did you know there are a dozen secondary markets attracting retailers and developers?
The Secondary Market Retail Outlook for 2014 was just recently released by ICR Commercial Real Estate. In house Research Analyst Alvaro Campos has been hard at work collecting information on these communities, which we’d like to summarize:
We find dual agency still very common in Saskatchewan commercial real estate transactions. I am not going to address the pros and cons of dual agency in detail within this article. That is a topic unto itself.
Let me just say that due to the confidentiality requested by many of our sellers, I believe it will continue to be a practical business solution within our industry for many years to come. Complications arise when I, as a listing agent have an offer on my own listing and at the same time one of my colleagues and/or a cooperating broker has an offer.
In days gone by, when a new national retail merchant came searching for a spot for their first Saskatoon store we found they usually wanted to locate within the 8th Street, Broadway or Downtown retail corridors. Obviously there were many other available options however the majority of interest centered on those areas.