We’ve just released our 2Q21 market surveys and all three sectors are reporting a reduction in vacancy.
Remarkable statistics considering the economic storm we’ve been passing through!
It appears that our resource rich economy is only going to continue to improve with the recent upcycle in commodity markets.
International demand for food, fertilizer and fuel have turned the corner after a slow 2020.
Let’s take a look at each sector individually.
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As a Commercial Real Estate Broker, it’s my job to prepare my clients.
Typically, there is a process they will need to go through to complete a lease or purchase.
The purpose of my focus here is to provide an overview of the steps necessary to mortgage commercial real estate.
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Saskatchewan’s premier Scott Moe is optimistically eying reopening our province (again) to business despite some of our neighbouring provinces tightening down.
As much as I strongly believe safety is a high priority, I also believe salvaging our economy is just as important.
So what does Moe’s re-open plan mean for business?
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While we saw quarter over quarter decreases throughout 2020, the drop in Saskatoon’s industrial vacancy for the last three months has exceeded my prediction for the entire current year.
The industrial sector has seen a net absorption of almost 150,000 square feet (SF).
In January, I forecasted we would be at 4.8 per cent by year end.
Our recently released Industrial Market Report recorded that rate had already dropped to 4.71 per cent. That represents over a 60-basis points reduction within one quarter.
My review of the market stats would indicate that is the largest quarterly drop we have seen in over 10 years.
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Renewals in commercial leasing can be almost as important as securing a lease in the first place.
There is quite a bit of finesse to this process.
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I promised you that I’d hold myself accountable in my Jan 2020 post and report back to you.
So, how did I do? At that time, I predicted a decline in the overall Saskatoon industrial vacancy rate from 5.65 per cent per cent in 2019 to 4.8 per cent.
That’s after a significant 2 per cent decline in 2018 and a 0.9 per cent decline to 6.8 per cent in 2019.
The past year has been a roller coaster for the commercial real estate industry.
Just when it looked like were gaining traction it seemed the world had another thing in store for us.
But I’m hopeful for 2021 and therefore I choose to focus on what’s in store for us.
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No one can pinpoint a precise market number.
Run for the hills If a broker represents that they know exactly what your property is worth.
Doubly so if a commercial real estate broker tours you through property and does not point out the defects, as well as the features.
So who can you trust?
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This may sound counterintuitive as we navigate the economic impact of a pandemic.
But I’ve recently reported that our Saskatoon industrial vacancy rate actually dropped in 3Q20 demonstrating the economic resilience of this asset class.
Two industrial properties I recently brought to the market sold within one week.
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There is one thing universal to commercial real estate transactions when it comes to investment buyers and sellers.
Buyers want the highest cap rate they can find; and sellers want to challenge the market with the lowest cap rate it will withstand.
Often the value of the property lies somewhere in between.
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