I promised you that I’d hold myself accountable in my Jan 2020 post and report back to you.
So, how did I do? At that time, I predicted a decline in the overall Saskatoon industrial vacancy rate from 5.65 per cent per cent in 2019 to 4.8 per cent.
That’s after a significant 2 per cent decline in 2018 and a 0.9 per cent decline to 6.8 per cent in 2019.
The past year has been a roller coaster for the commercial real estate industry.
Just when it looked like were gaining traction it seemed the world had another thing in store for us.
But I’m hopeful for 2021 and therefore I choose to focus on what’s in store for us.
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No one can pinpoint a precise market number.
Run for the hills If a broker represents that they know exactly what your property is worth.
Doubly so if a commercial real estate broker tours you through property and does not point out the defects, as well as the features.
So who can you trust?
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This may sound counterintuitive as we navigate the economic impact of a pandemic.
But I’ve recently reported that our Saskatoon industrial vacancy rate actually dropped in 3Q20 demonstrating the economic resilience of this asset class.
Two industrial properties I recently brought to the market sold within one week.
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There is one thing universal to commercial real estate transactions when it comes to investment buyers and sellers.
Buyers want the highest cap rate they can find; and sellers want to challenge the market with the lowest cap rate it will withstand.
Often the value of the property lies somewhere in between.
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If in a negotiation you hear the Seller say: “I’ve already been offered $X sum of money,” and that amount seems somewhat unrealistic, ask if it the offer was in writing.
It’s interesting how many times the response is, “no, it was not in writing.”
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I have a pretty wide range of expertise as a commercial real estate professional.
I’m not an engineer, electrician, or city planner, but I need to understand some working knowledge in all these areas (and others) to properly advise my clients.
An issue that comes up pretty regularly in our world is dealing with easements and encroachments on properties.
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Fair is a pretty relative term in the commercial real estate universe.
It depends entirely on which side of the transaction you are as to what your perception of fair may be.
In regard to commercial leasing, does fair apply to the landlord or tenant?
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Last week Saskatchewan Premier Scott Moe announced a phased in plan to reopen the province for business in the wake of Covid-19.
While some people are saying it is too soon, most agree that it has been long enough.
So how will this unfold for commercial real estate tenants?
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The sudden, real impact of COVID-19 can be seen in supply chain disruptions, lower consumer confidence and reduced consumer spending.
Trying to measure the macro picture, the scope and duration of the economic stoppage is not easy.
For those corporations who are currently sitting on surplus capital, waiting for the bargains to surface, it is still too early to assess how property values will be affected.
It is however, becoming clear which sector will emerge as strongest asset class.
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